Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C for Shenzhen on August 19 under subtropical monsoon conditions typical for the region in mid-August. This aligns with historical averages near 32°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns favoring slightly elevated readings, supported by observed trends in humidity, wind flow, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for the 35°C outcome incorporates real-time data updates and skin-in-the-game assessment of model reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift such as rapid afternoon convection or revised observational data from local stations pushing the verified high outside the narrow resolution band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 19?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$242,723 KL.
$242,723 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$242,723 KL.
$242,723 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
$21,515 KL.
No
28°C
$27,065 KL.
No
29°C
$28,850 KL.
No
30°C
$22,347 KL.
No
31°C
$71,169 KL.
No
32°C
$15,471 KL.
No
33°C
$12,051 KL.
No
34°C
$15,098 KL.
No
35°C
$8,123 KL.
Yes
36°C
$13,262 KL.
No
37°C or higher
$7,772 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C for Shenzhen on August 19 under subtropical monsoon conditions typical for the region in mid-August. This aligns with historical averages near 32°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns favoring slightly elevated readings, supported by observed trends in humidity, wind flow, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for the 35°C outcome incorporates real-time data updates and skin-in-the-game assessment of model reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift such as rapid afternoon convection or revised observational data from local stations pushing the verified high outside the narrow resolution band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$242,723Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C for Shenzhen on August 19 under subtropical monsoon conditions typical for the region in mid-August. This aligns with historical averages near 32°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns favoring slightly elevated readings, supported by observed trends in humidity, wind flow, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for the 35°C outcome incorporates real-time data updates and skin-in-the-game assessment of model reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift such as rapid afternoon convection or revised observational data from local stations pushing the verified high outside the narrow resolution band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$242,723Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime maximum of 35°C for Shenzhen on August 19 under subtropical monsoon conditions typical for the region in mid-August. This aligns with historical averages near 32°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns favoring slightly elevated readings, supported by observed trends in humidity, wind flow, and minimal cloud cover that limit cooling. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for the 35°C outcome incorporates real-time data updates and skin-in-the-game assessment of model reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift such as rapid afternoon convection or revised observational data from local stations pushing the verified high outside the narrow resolution band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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