Forecast consensus from meteorological models and the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory supports a daily maximum near 34°C under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, where high humidity, light steering winds, and monsoon moisture sustain afternoon convection that often caps peaks around this threshold. Historical baselines show August highs averaging 32–33°C, with recent easing of prior heat buildup and increased cloud cover from scattered showers aligning trader sentiment with this outcome. Official station observations using standard WMO protocols will determine resolution. A sudden clearing of skies or delayed convective development could allow brief spikes to 35°C or higher, while earlier or more intense rainfall would likely keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 18?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,358 KL.
$110,358 KL.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,358 KL.
$110,358 KL.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological models and the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory supports a daily maximum near 34°C under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, where high humidity, light steering winds, and monsoon moisture sustain afternoon convection that often caps peaks around this threshold. Historical baselines show August highs averaging 32–33°C, with recent easing of prior heat buildup and increased cloud cover from scattered showers aligning trader sentiment with this outcome. Official station observations using standard WMO protocols will determine resolution. A sudden clearing of skies or delayed convective development could allow brief spikes to 35°C or higher, while earlier or more intense rainfall would likely keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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