Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction runs and real-time observations aligning on a daytime maximum in that narrow band. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 30–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, and current guidance from monitoring agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited convective activity that support this outcome rather than extremes. Measurement occurs at official stations using standardized protocols, leaving little room for variance unless unexpected shifts in cloud cover, localized rainfall, or rapid advection alter the thermal profile before peak heating. New model updates or afternoon observations could still introduce minor adjustments within the 30–33°C envelope.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$122,283 KL.
$122,283 KL.
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$122,283 KL.
$122,283 KL.
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$1,291 KL.
No
26°C
$512 KL.
No
27°C
$3,239 KL.
No
28°C
$7,753 KL.
No
29°C
$12,565 KL.
No
30°C
$21,983 KL.
No
31°C
$35,425 KL.
No
32°C
$20,084 KL.
Yes
33°C
$14,188 KL.
No
34°C
$4,569 KL.
No
35°C or higher
$673 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction runs and real-time observations aligning on a daytime maximum in that narrow band. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 30–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, and current guidance from monitoring agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited convective activity that support this outcome rather than extremes. Measurement occurs at official stations using standardized protocols, leaving little room for variance unless unexpected shifts in cloud cover, localized rainfall, or rapid advection alter the thermal profile before peak heating. New model updates or afternoon observations could still introduce minor adjustments within the 30–33°C envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$122,283Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction runs and real-time observations aligning on a daytime maximum in that narrow band. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 30–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, and current guidance from monitoring agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited convective activity that support this outcome rather than extremes. Measurement occurs at official stations using standardized protocols, leaving little room for variance unless unexpected shifts in cloud cover, localized rainfall, or rapid advection alter the thermal profile before peak heating. New model updates or afternoon observations could still introduce minor adjustments within the 30–33°C envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$122,283Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction runs and real-time observations aligning on a daytime maximum in that narrow band. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 30–35°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, and current guidance from monitoring agencies shows stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited convective activity that support this outcome rather than extremes. Measurement occurs at official stations using standardized protocols, leaving little room for variance unless unexpected shifts in cloud cover, localized rainfall, or rapid advection alter the thermal profile before peak heating. New model updates or afternoon observations could still introduce minor adjustments within the 30–33°C envelope.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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