Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international agencies align on a daily maximum of 31°C for August 18, 2026, under typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, partial cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and surface warming. This strong model consensus underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 31°C, reflecting observed patterns of afternoon convection and stable steering flows that prevent extreme heat buildup. An unexpected clearing of cloud decks or enhanced subsidence could allow readings to reach 32°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution based on official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$129,152 KL.
$129,152 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$129,152 KL.
$129,152 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$314 KL.
No
27°C
$181 KL.
No
28°C
$7,167 KL.
No
29°C
$12,299 KL.
No
30°C
$20,920 KL.
No
31°C
$43,262 KL.
Yes
32°C
$27,255 KL.
No
33°C
$10,636 KL.
No
34°C
$4,195 KL.
No
35°C
$2,750 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$175 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international agencies align on a daily maximum of 31°C for August 18, 2026, under typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, partial cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and surface warming. This strong model consensus underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 31°C, reflecting observed patterns of afternoon convection and stable steering flows that prevent extreme heat buildup. An unexpected clearing of cloud decks or enhanced subsidence could allow readings to reach 32°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$129,152Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international agencies align on a daily maximum of 31°C for August 18, 2026, under typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, partial cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and surface warming. This strong model consensus underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 31°C, reflecting observed patterns of afternoon convection and stable steering flows that prevent extreme heat buildup. An unexpected clearing of cloud decks or enhanced subsidence could allow readings to reach 32°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$129,152Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international agencies align on a daily maximum of 31°C for August 18, 2026, under typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, partial cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and surface warming. This strong model consensus underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 31°C, reflecting observed patterns of afternoon convection and stable steering flows that prevent extreme heat buildup. An unexpected clearing of cloud decks or enhanced subsidence could allow readings to reach 32°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution based on official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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