Official forecasts from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions place Shanghai's daily maximum temperature at 31°C on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reflects typical late-summer patterns under the East Asian monsoon, where daytime highs often stabilize near 31–32°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits further warming. Recent model consensus from regional meteorological data supports this reading, consistent with historical August baselines around 30–33°C. Minor deviations in station measurements or localized urban heat effects represent the main realistic uncertainties that could shift resolution, though current observations show no such variance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$108,784 KL.
$108,784 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$108,784 KL.
$108,784 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
25°C or below
$159 KL.
No
26°C
$159 KL.
No
27°C
$1,803 KL.
No
28°C
$8,173 KL.
No
29°C
$7,388 KL.
No
30°C
$14,647 KL.
No
31°C
$26,516 KL.
Yes
32°C
$19,741 KL.
No
33°C
$18,534 KL.
No
34°C
$9,212 KL.
No
35°C or higher
$2,451 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions place Shanghai's daily maximum temperature at 31°C on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reflects typical late-summer patterns under the East Asian monsoon, where daytime highs often stabilize near 31–32°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits further warming. Recent model consensus from regional meteorological data supports this reading, consistent with historical August baselines around 30–33°C. Minor deviations in station measurements or localized urban heat effects represent the main realistic uncertainties that could shift resolution, though current observations show no such variance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$108,784Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions place Shanghai's daily maximum temperature at 31°C on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reflects typical late-summer patterns under the East Asian monsoon, where daytime highs often stabilize near 31–32°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits further warming. Recent model consensus from regional meteorological data supports this reading, consistent with historical August baselines around 30–33°C. Minor deviations in station measurements or localized urban heat effects represent the main realistic uncertainties that could shift resolution, though current observations show no such variance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$108,784Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions place Shanghai's daily maximum temperature at 31°C on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reflects typical late-summer patterns under the East Asian monsoon, where daytime highs often stabilize near 31–32°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits further warming. Recent model consensus from regional meteorological data supports this reading, consistent with historical August baselines around 30–33°C. Minor deviations in station measurements or localized urban heat effects represent the main realistic uncertainties that could shift resolution, though current observations show no such variance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp