Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 11?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 11?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$232,207 KL.
$232,207 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$232,207 KL.
$232,207 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
$504 KL.
No
24°C
$504 KL.
No
25°C
$447 KL.
No
26°C
$1,815 KL.
No
27°C
$10,782 KL.
No
28°C
$138,515 KL.
No
29°C
$23,418 KL.
Yes
30°C
$23,689 KL.
No
31°C
$17,144 KL.
No
32°C
$9,914 KL.
No
33°C or higher
$5,476 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$232,207Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$232,207Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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