**KMA short-range guidance and real-time observational trends have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 36°C daily maximum at the Incheon station for August 8.** Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with active emergency warnings and dew points supporting elevated heat indices, align with ensemble model outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Recent days have seen maxima cluster tightly around 34–37°C under similar synoptic patterns, lending historical precedent. The implied probability reflects trader assessment that additional intensification is unlikely before resolution criteria are met, though a late surge in insolation or model error could still shift the recorded high by a degree in either direction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$132,576 KL.
$132,576 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$132,576 KL.
$132,576 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$12,749 KL.
No
32°C
$7,492 KL.
No
33°C
$7,674 KL.
No
34°C
$21,668 KL.
No
35°C
$11,869 KL.
No
36°C
$28,879 KL.
Yes
37°C
$25,326 KL.
No
38°C
$10,733 KL.
No
39°C
$3,395 KL.
No
40°C
$2,334 KL.
No
41°C or higher
$458 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance and real-time observational trends have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 36°C daily maximum at the Incheon station for August 8.** Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with active emergency warnings and dew points supporting elevated heat indices, align with ensemble model outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Recent days have seen maxima cluster tightly around 34–37°C under similar synoptic patterns, lending historical precedent. The implied probability reflects trader assessment that additional intensification is unlikely before resolution criteria are met, though a late surge in insolation or model error could still shift the recorded high by a degree in either direction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$132,576Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance and real-time observational trends have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 36°C daily maximum at the Incheon station for August 8.** Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with active emergency warnings and dew points supporting elevated heat indices, align with ensemble model outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Recent days have seen maxima cluster tightly around 34–37°C under similar synoptic patterns, lending historical precedent. The implied probability reflects trader assessment that additional intensification is unlikely before resolution criteria are met, though a late surge in insolation or model error could still shift the recorded high by a degree in either direction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$132,576Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**KMA short-range guidance and real-time observational trends have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 36°C daily maximum at the Incheon station for August 8.** Persistent heatwave conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with active emergency warnings and dew points supporting elevated heat indices, align with ensemble model outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Recent days have seen maxima cluster tightly around 34–37°C under similar synoptic patterns, lending historical precedent. The implied probability reflects trader assessment that additional intensification is unlikely before resolution criteria are met, though a late surge in insolation or model error could still shift the recorded high by a degree in either direction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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