Recent ensemble model guidance and increased afternoon cloud cover from passing showers have tempered daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region, aligning official Korea Meteorological Administration observations with a daily maximum near 29°C on August 19. Persistent mostly cloudy conditions have limited solar insolation and convective mixing, keeping surface temperatures below earlier projections of 33°C. This evidence underpins the market's near-certain consensus on the 29°C outcome. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence later in the day could allow modest additional warming, though current observational trends make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 19?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 19?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$77,070 KL.
$77,070 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$77,070 KL.
$77,070 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
$291 KL.
No
24°C
$1,078 KL.
No
25°C
$1,173 KL.
No
26°C
$1,245 KL.
No
27°C
$10,652 KL.
No
28°C
$10,340 KL.
No
29°C
$18,242 KL.
Yes
30°C
$9,356 KL.
No
31°C
$8,629 KL.
No
32°C
$10,503 KL.
No
33°C or higher
$5,562 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance and increased afternoon cloud cover from passing showers have tempered daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region, aligning official Korea Meteorological Administration observations with a daily maximum near 29°C on August 19. Persistent mostly cloudy conditions have limited solar insolation and convective mixing, keeping surface temperatures below earlier projections of 33°C. This evidence underpins the market's near-certain consensus on the 29°C outcome. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence later in the day could allow modest additional warming, though current observational trends make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$77,070Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance and increased afternoon cloud cover from passing showers have tempered daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region, aligning official Korea Meteorological Administration observations with a daily maximum near 29°C on August 19. Persistent mostly cloudy conditions have limited solar insolation and convective mixing, keeping surface temperatures below earlier projections of 33°C. This evidence underpins the market's near-certain consensus on the 29°C outcome. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence later in the day could allow modest additional warming, though current observational trends make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$77,070Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent ensemble model guidance and increased afternoon cloud cover from passing showers have tempered daytime heating across the Seoul-Incheon region, aligning official Korea Meteorological Administration observations with a daily maximum near 29°C on August 19. Persistent mostly cloudy conditions have limited solar insolation and convective mixing, keeping surface temperatures below earlier projections of 33°C. This evidence underpins the market's near-certain consensus on the 29°C outcome. Clearer skies or stronger subsidence later in the day could allow modest additional warming, though current observational trends make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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