Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts set the daily maximum at 28°C for Seoul on August 17 under clear to mostly clear skies, with a morning low near 24°C and minimal precipitation risk, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects the strong model agreement and recent cooling trend following the early-August heatwave that produced peaks above 37°C. Real-time observations through midday have tracked closely to guidance, limiting upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the official verified high from Seoul and Incheon stations; late-day convective activity or localized urban heat island effects remain the primary variables that could shift the final reading by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,416 KL.
$104,416 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,416 KL.
$104,416 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,803 KL.
No
24°C
$1,295 KL.
No
25°C
$3,767 KL.
No
26°C
$25,054 KL.
No
27°C
$8,973 KL.
No
28°C
$25,461 KL.
Yes
29°C
$11,137 KL.
No
30°C
$8,797 KL.
No
31°C
$7,542 KL.
No
32°C
$4,121 KL.
No
33°C or higher
$5,466 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts set the daily maximum at 28°C for Seoul on August 17 under clear to mostly clear skies, with a morning low near 24°C and minimal precipitation risk, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects the strong model agreement and recent cooling trend following the early-August heatwave that produced peaks above 37°C. Real-time observations through midday have tracked closely to guidance, limiting upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the official verified high from Seoul and Incheon stations; late-day convective activity or localized urban heat island effects remain the primary variables that could shift the final reading by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$104,416Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts set the daily maximum at 28°C for Seoul on August 17 under clear to mostly clear skies, with a morning low near 24°C and minimal precipitation risk, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects the strong model agreement and recent cooling trend following the early-August heatwave that produced peaks above 37°C. Real-time observations through midday have tracked closely to guidance, limiting upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the official verified high from Seoul and Incheon stations; late-day convective activity or localized urban heat island effects remain the primary variables that could shift the final reading by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$104,416Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts set the daily maximum at 28°C for Seoul on August 17 under clear to mostly clear skies, with a morning low near 24°C and minimal precipitation risk, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects the strong model agreement and recent cooling trend following the early-August heatwave that produced peaks above 37°C. Real-time observations through midday have tracked closely to guidance, limiting upside or downside variance. Resolution hinges on the official verified high from Seoul and Incheon stations; late-day convective activity or localized urban heat island effects remain the primary variables that could shift the final reading by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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