Recent observational data and refined Korea Meteorological Administration guidance have driven near-certain trader consensus around a 32°C maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 11, aligning with real-time surface readings near 32°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Coastal marine moderation at Incheon International Airport, combined with the tail end of the early-August heatwave that produced inland peaks above 39°C, has limited further intensification despite clear conditions and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this threshold, with climatological August averages of 30–31°C providing supporting context. Late-day convective development or minor adjustments in official Incheon station verification could still shift the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$142,513 KL.
$142,513 KL.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$142,513 KL.
$142,513 KL.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSINgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent observational data and refined Korea Meteorological Administration guidance have driven near-certain trader consensus around a 32°C maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 11, aligning with real-time surface readings near 32°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Coastal marine moderation at Incheon International Airport, combined with the tail end of the early-August heatwave that produced inland peaks above 39°C, has limited further intensification despite clear conditions and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this threshold, with climatological August averages of 30–31°C providing supporting context. Late-day convective development or minor adjustments in official Incheon station verification could still shift the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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