Official measurements from Weather Underground's Seattle station confirm a daily maximum of 78–79°F on August 18, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models that anticipated upper-70s highs under mild onshore flow, gradual clearing, and typical mid-August marine influence, consistent with the region's climatological average near 77–79°F. Minor variables such as afternoon cloud cover or localized heating introduced limited uncertainty beforehand, yet post-event data resolved the market decisively. Only an official data revision or station discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, scenarios that remain improbable given standardized reporting protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 18?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$45,600 KL.
$45,600 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$45,600 KL.
$45,600 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
$4,603 KL.
No
72-73°F
$10,499 KL.
No
74-75°F
$8,150 KL.
No
76-77°F
$5,752 KL.
No
78-79°F
$5,690 KL.
Yes
80-81°F
$4,038 KL.
No
82-83°F
$3,384 KL.
No
84-85°F
$2,196 KL.
No
86-87°F
$877 KL.
No
88-89°F
$290 KL.
No
90°F or higher
$120 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Weather Underground's Seattle station confirm a daily maximum of 78–79°F on August 18, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models that anticipated upper-70s highs under mild onshore flow, gradual clearing, and typical mid-August marine influence, consistent with the region's climatological average near 77–79°F. Minor variables such as afternoon cloud cover or localized heating introduced limited uncertainty beforehand, yet post-event data resolved the market decisively. Only an official data revision or station discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, scenarios that remain improbable given standardized reporting protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$45,600Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Weather Underground's Seattle station confirm a daily maximum of 78–79°F on August 18, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models that anticipated upper-70s highs under mild onshore flow, gradual clearing, and typical mid-August marine influence, consistent with the region's climatological average near 77–79°F. Minor variables such as afternoon cloud cover or localized heating introduced limited uncertainty beforehand, yet post-event data resolved the market decisively. Only an official data revision or station discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, scenarios that remain improbable given standardized reporting protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$45,600Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official measurements from Weather Underground's Seattle station confirm a daily maximum of 78–79°F on August 18, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models that anticipated upper-70s highs under mild onshore flow, gradual clearing, and typical mid-August marine influence, consistent with the region's climatological average near 77–79°F. Minor variables such as afternoon cloud cover or localized heating introduced limited uncertainty beforehand, yet post-event data resolved the market decisively. Only an official data revision or station discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, scenarios that remain improbable given standardized reporting protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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