Official measurements from Brazil’s INMET meteorological network recorded a daily maximum of 32°C in São Paulo on August 19, 2026, under clear skies and strong solar heating that aligned closely with pre-event model guidance. Low humidity below 30 percent and urban heat-island effects amplified afternoon warming, pushing the thermometer precisely to this threshold while preventing higher readings. Market-implied odds at 100 percent on 32°C reflect traders’ confidence in these verified station data rather than forecasts. A post-event revision by INMET or a discrepancy among official stations remains the only realistic path that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are historically rare for daily maxima once preliminary reports are confirmed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$23,013 KL.
$23,013 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$23,013 KL.
$23,013 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$105 KL.
No
27°C
$330 KL.
No
28°C
$803 KL.
No
29°C
$2,352 KL.
No
30°C
$4,455 KL.
No
31°C
$4,447 KL.
No
32°C
$5,304 KL.
Yes
33°C
$3,198 KL.
No
34°C
$1,415 KL.
No
35°C
$484 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$120 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Brazil’s INMET meteorological network recorded a daily maximum of 32°C in São Paulo on August 19, 2026, under clear skies and strong solar heating that aligned closely with pre-event model guidance. Low humidity below 30 percent and urban heat-island effects amplified afternoon warming, pushing the thermometer precisely to this threshold while preventing higher readings. Market-implied odds at 100 percent on 32°C reflect traders’ confidence in these verified station data rather than forecasts. A post-event revision by INMET or a discrepancy among official stations remains the only realistic path that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are historically rare for daily maxima once preliminary reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23,013Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Brazil’s INMET meteorological network recorded a daily maximum of 32°C in São Paulo on August 19, 2026, under clear skies and strong solar heating that aligned closely with pre-event model guidance. Low humidity below 30 percent and urban heat-island effects amplified afternoon warming, pushing the thermometer precisely to this threshold while preventing higher readings. Market-implied odds at 100 percent on 32°C reflect traders’ confidence in these verified station data rather than forecasts. A post-event revision by INMET or a discrepancy among official stations remains the only realistic path that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are historically rare for daily maxima once preliminary reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,013Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official measurements from Brazil’s INMET meteorological network recorded a daily maximum of 32°C in São Paulo on August 19, 2026, under clear skies and strong solar heating that aligned closely with pre-event model guidance. Low humidity below 30 percent and urban heat-island effects amplified afternoon warming, pushing the thermometer precisely to this threshold while preventing higher readings. Market-implied odds at 100 percent on 32°C reflect traders’ confidence in these verified station data rather than forecasts. A post-event revision by INMET or a discrepancy among official stations remains the only realistic path that could alter resolution, though such adjustments are historically rare for daily maxima once preliminary reports are confirmed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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