Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 11?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$116,022 KL.
$116,022 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$116,022 KL.
$116,022 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$9,361 KL.
No
29°C
$3,572 KL.
No
30°C
$11,719 KL.
No
31°C
$22,569 KL.
No
32°C
$20,470 KL.
Yes
33°C
$18,783 KL.
No
34°C
$21,990 KL.
No
35°C
$5,423 KL.
No
36°C
$1,273 KL.
No
37°C
$458 KL.
No
38°C or higher
$403 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$116,022Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$116,022Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models position Paris for a maximum of 32°C on August 11 under clear skies and weak northeasterly flow during the ongoing heatwave, with afternoon readings near that threshold at urban stations. This aligns with seasonal norms elevated by 3–5°C amid broader warm anomalies across western Europe, where surface observations and ensemble guidance show limited upward potential before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around this value, as verified measurements rarely deviate more than 1°C from consensus forecasts on such days. An unexpected convective cell or revised boundary-layer mixing could still push readings to 33°C or hold them at 31°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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