Official forecasts from Roshydromet and major ensemble models place Moscow’s August 20 maximum temperature near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited urban heat-island enhancement, supporting the market’s near-certain 22°C outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign negligible probability to 25°C because no credible guidance supports significant warming or clearer skies that would push readings higher. An unexpected shift in steering flow or thicker cloud cover could still trim the high by 1–2°C, while rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection remain the only realistic paths to a higher reading before markets resolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$39,791 KL.
$39,791 KL.
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$39,791 KL.
$39,791 KL.
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
$362 KL.
No
17°C
$805 KL.
No
18°C
$1,724 KL.
No
19°C
$3,063 KL.
No
20°C
$7,099 KL.
No
21°C
$6,393 KL.
No
22°C
$8,289 KL.
Yes
23°C
$6,449 KL.
No
24°C
$2,741 KL.
No
25°C
$978 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$1,887 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Roshydromet and major ensemble models place Moscow’s August 20 maximum temperature near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited urban heat-island enhancement, supporting the market’s near-certain 22°C outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign negligible probability to 25°C because no credible guidance supports significant warming or clearer skies that would push readings higher. An unexpected shift in steering flow or thicker cloud cover could still trim the high by 1–2°C, while rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection remain the only realistic paths to a higher reading before markets resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,791Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Roshydromet and major ensemble models place Moscow’s August 20 maximum temperature near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited urban heat-island enhancement, supporting the market’s near-certain 22°C outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign negligible probability to 25°C because no credible guidance supports significant warming or clearer skies that would push readings higher. An unexpected shift in steering flow or thicker cloud cover could still trim the high by 1–2°C, while rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection remain the only realistic paths to a higher reading before markets resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$39,791Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts from Roshydromet and major ensemble models place Moscow’s August 20 maximum temperature near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and limited urban heat-island enhancement, supporting the market’s near-certain 22°C outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Traders assign negligible probability to 25°C because no credible guidance supports significant warming or clearer skies that would push readings higher. An unexpected shift in steering flow or thicker cloud cover could still trim the high by 1–2°C, while rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection remain the only realistic paths to a higher reading before markets resolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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