Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather have converged on a daytime maximum of 19°C in Moscow on August 19, driven by late-summer solar angles moderated by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest surface heating that limit convective development. This narrow temperature band aligns with historical August climatology showing typical highs of 20–22°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern suppressing further warming today. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 19°C captures this high-confidence scientific agreement backed by real-time capital allocation, though minor revisions in final official station readings or localized microclimate effects could still introduce small uncertainty before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,146 KL.
$35,146 KL.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,146 KL.
$35,146 KL.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather have converged on a daytime maximum of 19°C in Moscow on August 19, driven by late-summer solar angles moderated by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and modest surface heating that limit convective development. This narrow temperature band aligns with historical August climatology showing typical highs of 20–22°C while reflecting the specific synoptic pattern suppressing further warming today. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 19°C captures this high-confidence scientific agreement backed by real-time capital allocation, though minor revisions in final official station readings or localized microclimate effects could still introduce small uncertainty before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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