Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$66,364 KL.
$66,364 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$66,364 KL.
$66,364 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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