Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 11?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,931 KL.
$56,931 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,931 KL.
$56,931 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
32°C or below
$1,160 KL.
No
33°C
$1,452 KL.
No
34°C
$5,932 KL.
No
35°C
$17,204 KL.
No
36°C
$13,562 KL.
Yes
37°C
$9,422 KL.
No
38°C
$4,033 KL.
No
39°C
$2,009 KL.
No
40°C
$1,410 KL.
No
41°C
$392 KL.
No
42°C or higher
$353 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$56,931Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$56,931Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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