National Weather Service forecasts and observational data positioned Miami’s August 19 high near 95°F under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Modest sea-breeze convergence and boundary-layer moisture suppressed further warming after the prior day’s record-tying 100°F reading, consistent with August climatology that averages 89–91°F yet remains elevated this season. Official Miami International Airport measurements and model consensus reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning negligible odds to outliers given the timing of any thunderstorm development. Earlier or more widespread convection could have capped readings below 94°F, while delayed cloud cover or stronger insolation might have briefly exceeded 95°F, though both scenarios carried low probability under prevailing guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 19?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 19?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$65,741 KL.
$65,741 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$65,741 KL.
$65,741 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
87°F or below
$35 KL.
No
88-89°F
$352 KL.
No
90-91°F
$3,930 KL.
No
92-93°F
$11,325 KL.
No
94-95°F
$14,444 KL.
Yes
96-97°F
$13,956 KL.
No
98-99°F
$9,312 KL.
No
100-101°F
$8,760 KL.
No
102-103°F
$1,165 KL.
No
104-105°F
$312 KL.
No
106°F or higher
$2,150 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data positioned Miami’s August 19 high near 95°F under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Modest sea-breeze convergence and boundary-layer moisture suppressed further warming after the prior day’s record-tying 100°F reading, consistent with August climatology that averages 89–91°F yet remains elevated this season. Official Miami International Airport measurements and model consensus reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning negligible odds to outliers given the timing of any thunderstorm development. Earlier or more widespread convection could have capped readings below 94°F, while delayed cloud cover or stronger insolation might have briefly exceeded 95°F, though both scenarios carried low probability under prevailing guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$65,741Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data positioned Miami’s August 19 high near 95°F under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Modest sea-breeze convergence and boundary-layer moisture suppressed further warming after the prior day’s record-tying 100°F reading, consistent with August climatology that averages 89–91°F yet remains elevated this season. Official Miami International Airport measurements and model consensus reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning negligible odds to outliers given the timing of any thunderstorm development. Earlier or more widespread convection could have capped readings below 94°F, while delayed cloud cover or stronger insolation might have briefly exceeded 95°F, though both scenarios carried low probability under prevailing guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$65,741Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
National Weather Service forecasts and observational data positioned Miami’s August 19 high near 95°F under mostly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Modest sea-breeze convergence and boundary-layer moisture suppressed further warming after the prior day’s record-tying 100°F reading, consistent with August climatology that averages 89–91°F yet remains elevated this season. Official Miami International Airport measurements and model consensus reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning negligible odds to outliers given the timing of any thunderstorm development. Earlier or more widespread convection could have capped readings below 94°F, while delayed cloud cover or stronger insolation might have briefly exceeded 95°F, though both scenarios carried low probability under prevailing guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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