Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 18?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 18?
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$47,208 KL.
$47,208 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$47,208 KL.
$47,208 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
91°F or below
$127 KL.
No
92-93°F
$4,115 KL.
No
94-95°F
$3,225 KL.
No
96-97°F
$9,594 KL.
No
98-99°F
$15,443 KL.
Yes
100-101°F
$9,157 KL.
No
102-103°F
$4,386 KL.
No
104-105°F
$669 KL.
No
106-107°F
$212 KL.
No
108-109°F
$140 KL.
No
110°F or higher
$140 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$47,208Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$47,208Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent observations from Miami International Airport and surrounding stations, combined with National Weather Service model consensus, indicate peak temperatures stabilized in the upper 90s on August 18 amid clear skies, light southeast winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for late summer in South Florida, where daytime heating under high pressure typically produces highs near 90–95°F without significant moisture influx or frontal passages to moderate extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 98–99°F reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of preliminary data and historical analogs from similar high-pressure setups. Resolution could shift only if final NWS climatological reports revise the official maximum downward due to station-specific instrumentation differences or timing adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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