Official meteorological observations from Mexico City’s high-elevation subtropical highland stations recorded a daily maximum of 25 °C on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Peak rainy-season cloud cover, scattered convection, and reduced solar insolation under the influence of the subtropical high limited daytime heating despite the summer calendar, consistent with long-term August normals of 24–26 °C at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Model consensus and historical climatology had already narrowed the range tightly around this value, leaving little room for deviation. Only an atypical clearing trend or measurement revision from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could have altered the result before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,365 KL.
$19,365 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,365 KL.
$19,365 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$1,703 KL.
No
23°C
$1,294 KL.
No
24°C
$2,524 KL.
No
25°C
$4,895 KL.
Yes
26°C
$2,703 KL.
No
27°C
$3,309 KL.
No
28°C
$1,154 KL.
No
29°C
$1,382 KL.
No
30°C
$321 KL.
No
31°C
$39 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$40 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City’s high-elevation subtropical highland stations recorded a daily maximum of 25 °C on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Peak rainy-season cloud cover, scattered convection, and reduced solar insolation under the influence of the subtropical high limited daytime heating despite the summer calendar, consistent with long-term August normals of 24–26 °C at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Model consensus and historical climatology had already narrowed the range tightly around this value, leaving little room for deviation. Only an atypical clearing trend or measurement revision from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could have altered the result before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,365Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Mexico City’s high-elevation subtropical highland stations recorded a daily maximum of 25 °C on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Peak rainy-season cloud cover, scattered convection, and reduced solar insolation under the influence of the subtropical high limited daytime heating despite the summer calendar, consistent with long-term August normals of 24–26 °C at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Model consensus and historical climatology had already narrowed the range tightly around this value, leaving little room for deviation. Only an atypical clearing trend or measurement revision from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could have altered the result before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$19,365Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official meteorological observations from Mexico City’s high-elevation subtropical highland stations recorded a daily maximum of 25 °C on August 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Peak rainy-season cloud cover, scattered convection, and reduced solar insolation under the influence of the subtropical high limited daytime heating despite the summer calendar, consistent with long-term August normals of 24–26 °C at roughly 2,240 m elevation. Model consensus and historical climatology had already narrowed the range tightly around this value, leaving little room for deviation. Only an atypical clearing trend or measurement revision from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could have altered the result before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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