The southwest monsoon, or habagat, has driven persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 29°C according to PAGASA observations and model consensus. Official station data through late afternoon on August 18 recorded a peak of 28.3°C at Science Garden under overcast conditions with high humidity and 50–100 mm rainfall potential, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Historical August baselines for Manila average 30°C highs, but the current monsoon pattern has suppressed peaks by 1–2°C. Only a rapid, localized clearing with prolonged sunshine before sunset could realistically push readings to 30°C or above, though forecast guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 18?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,135 KL.
$36,135 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,135 KL.
$36,135 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$102 KL.
No
23°C
$132 KL.
No
24°C
$272 KL.
No
25°C
$2,521 KL.
No
26°C
$2,579 KL.
No
27°C
$6,516 KL.
No
28°C
$6,231 KL.
No
29°C
$6,570 KL.
Yes
30°C
$5,366 KL.
No
31°C
$3,284 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$2,560 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, has driven persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 29°C according to PAGASA observations and model consensus. Official station data through late afternoon on August 18 recorded a peak of 28.3°C at Science Garden under overcast conditions with high humidity and 50–100 mm rainfall potential, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Historical August baselines for Manila average 30°C highs, but the current monsoon pattern has suppressed peaks by 1–2°C. Only a rapid, localized clearing with prolonged sunshine before sunset could realistically push readings to 30°C or above, though forecast guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,135Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, has driven persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 29°C according to PAGASA observations and model consensus. Official station data through late afternoon on August 18 recorded a peak of 28.3°C at Science Garden under overcast conditions with high humidity and 50–100 mm rainfall potential, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Historical August baselines for Manila average 30°C highs, but the current monsoon pattern has suppressed peaks by 1–2°C. Only a rapid, localized clearing with prolonged sunshine before sunset could realistically push readings to 30°C or above, though forecast guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$36,135Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The southwest monsoon, or habagat, has driven persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 29°C according to PAGASA observations and model consensus. Official station data through late afternoon on August 18 recorded a peak of 28.3°C at Science Garden under overcast conditions with high humidity and 50–100 mm rainfall potential, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Historical August baselines for Manila average 30°C highs, but the current monsoon pattern has suppressed peaks by 1–2°C. Only a rapid, localized clearing with prolonged sunshine before sunset could realistically push readings to 30°C or above, though forecast guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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