The market's near-certain positioning on a 32°C daily maximum for Manila reflects current PAGASA station observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures aligning with typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon, where urban heat and humidity sustain highs near seasonal averages of 31°C. Recent data indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms moderating but not suppressing the peak, consistent with historical baselines for the period. Resolution hinges on the official PAGASA Science Garden reading, with potential shifts possible from localized rain timing, station-specific microclimate variations, or late-day updates that could revise the recorded high downward.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 16?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,675 KL.
$35,675 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,675 KL.
$35,675 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The market's near-certain positioning on a 32°C daily maximum for Manila reflects current PAGASA station observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures aligning with typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon, where urban heat and humidity sustain highs near seasonal averages of 31°C. Recent data indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms moderating but not suppressing the peak, consistent with historical baselines for the period. Resolution hinges on the official PAGASA Science Garden reading, with potential shifts possible from localized rain timing, station-specific microclimate variations, or late-day updates that could revise the recorded high downward.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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