Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 14?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,926 KL.
$59,926 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,926 KL.
$59,926 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
$358 KL.
No
26°C
$3,267 KL.
No
27°C
$23,953 KL.
No
28°C
$7,595 KL.
Yes
29°C
$5,660 KL.
No
30°C
$5,206 KL.
No
31°C
$5,898 KL.
No
32°C
$3,494 KL.
No
33°C
$1,497 KL.
No
34°C
$1,461 KL.
No
35°C or higher
$1,538 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,926Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$59,926Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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