Madrid's peak temperature on August 9 is projected to reach 37°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, consistent with National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34°C highs while reflecting the current heat dome's intensification. Trader consensus at 100% for 37°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data and short-range forecasts. A sudden increase in boundary-layer moisture, unexpected convective development, or a sharper steering flow shift could alter the maximum by 1–2°C before evening observations finalize the market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$98,480 KL.
$98,480 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$98,480 KL.
$98,480 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
$849 KL.
No
33°C
$821 KL.
No
34°C
$7,257 KL.
No
35°C
$15,272 KL.
No
36°C
$32,720 KL.
No
37°C
$17,679 KL.
Yes
38°C
$15,038 KL.
No
39°C
$5,633 KL.
No
40°C
$2,153 KL.
No
41°C
$693 KL.
No
42°C or higher
$365 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's peak temperature on August 9 is projected to reach 37°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, consistent with National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34°C highs while reflecting the current heat dome's intensification. Trader consensus at 100% for 37°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data and short-range forecasts. A sudden increase in boundary-layer moisture, unexpected convective development, or a sharper steering flow shift could alter the maximum by 1–2°C before evening observations finalize the market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$98,480Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's peak temperature on August 9 is projected to reach 37°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, consistent with National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34°C highs while reflecting the current heat dome's intensification. Trader consensus at 100% for 37°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data and short-range forecasts. A sudden increase in boundary-layer moisture, unexpected convective development, or a sharper steering flow shift could alter the maximum by 1–2°C before evening observations finalize the market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$98,480Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Madrid's peak temperature on August 9 is projected to reach 37°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, consistent with National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34°C highs while reflecting the current heat dome's intensification. Trader consensus at 100% for 37°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game assessment of observational data and short-range forecasts. A sudden increase in boundary-layer moisture, unexpected convective development, or a sharper steering flow shift could alter the maximum by 1–2°C before evening observations finalize the market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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