Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, supports an afternoon maximum of 32°C in Madrid on August 21 under clear skies, light west-southwest winds, and typical late-summer continental conditions with low humidity. This aligns with the historical average high near 31–32°C for the date and lacks anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns that could drive deviations. Official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and real-time observations reinforce this range, underpinning the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 32°C. Uncertainties in short-term steering flows, localized urban heat effects, or rapid model adjustments from incoming data could still shift the recorded peak at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 21?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,131 KL.
$63,131 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,131 KL.
$63,131 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
$1,215 KL.
No
28°C
$1,666 KL.
No
29°C
$2,547 KL.
No
30°C
$11,643 KL.
No
31°C
$11,814 KL.
No
32°C
$15,002 KL.
Yes
33°C
$7,007 KL.
No
34°C
$5,568 KL.
No
35°C
$2,221 KL.
No
36°C
$1,659 KL.
No
37°C or higher
$2,789 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, supports an afternoon maximum of 32°C in Madrid on August 21 under clear skies, light west-southwest winds, and typical late-summer continental conditions with low humidity. This aligns with the historical average high near 31–32°C for the date and lacks anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns that could drive deviations. Official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and real-time observations reinforce this range, underpinning the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 32°C. Uncertainties in short-term steering flows, localized urban heat effects, or rapid model adjustments from incoming data could still shift the recorded peak at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$63,131Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, supports an afternoon maximum of 32°C in Madrid on August 21 under clear skies, light west-southwest winds, and typical late-summer continental conditions with low humidity. This aligns with the historical average high near 31–32°C for the date and lacks anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns that could drive deviations. Official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and real-time observations reinforce this range, underpinning the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 32°C. Uncertainties in short-term steering flows, localized urban heat effects, or rapid model adjustments from incoming data could still shift the recorded peak at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$63,131Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, supports an afternoon maximum of 32°C in Madrid on August 21 under clear skies, light west-southwest winds, and typical late-summer continental conditions with low humidity. This aligns with the historical average high near 31–32°C for the date and lacks anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns that could drive deviations. Official guidance from agencies such as AEMET and real-time observations reinforce this range, underpinning the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 32°C. Uncertainties in short-term steering flows, localized urban heat effects, or rapid model adjustments from incoming data could still shift the recorded peak at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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