Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including KLAX, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 19, aligning precisely with mid-August climatological norms of 77–82°F for coastal Los Angeles and reflecting the moderating influence of the afternoon sea breeze and marine layer. This outcome, now carrying 100% implied probability in the market, is supported by real-time observations and model consensus that limited inland heat advection and kept afternoon warming in check. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if post-event quality control adjusts the official high due to station-specific reporting or microclimate variations, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 19?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 19?
80-81°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$43,947 KL.
$43,947 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$43,947 KL.
$43,947 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
$3,544 KL.
No
78-79°F
$5,690 KL.
No
80-81°F
$13,006 KL.
Yes
82-83°F
$6,863 KL.
No
84-85°F
$4,089 KL.
No
86-87°F
$4,429 KL.
No
88-89°F
$1,819 KL.
No
90-91°F
$648 KL.
No
92-93°F
$1,808 KL.
No
94-95°F
$1,630 KL.
No
96°F or higher
$422 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including KLAX, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 19, aligning precisely with mid-August climatological norms of 77–82°F for coastal Los Angeles and reflecting the moderating influence of the afternoon sea breeze and marine layer. This outcome, now carrying 100% implied probability in the market, is supported by real-time observations and model consensus that limited inland heat advection and kept afternoon warming in check. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if post-event quality control adjusts the official high due to station-specific reporting or microclimate variations, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$43,947Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including KLAX, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 19, aligning precisely with mid-August climatological norms of 77–82°F for coastal Los Angeles and reflecting the moderating influence of the afternoon sea breeze and marine layer. This outcome, now carrying 100% implied probability in the market, is supported by real-time observations and model consensus that limited inland heat advection and kept afternoon warming in check. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if post-event quality control adjusts the official high due to station-specific reporting or microclimate variations, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$43,947Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including KLAX, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 19, aligning precisely with mid-August climatological norms of 77–82°F for coastal Los Angeles and reflecting the moderating influence of the afternoon sea breeze and marine layer. This outcome, now carrying 100% implied probability in the market, is supported by real-time observations and model consensus that limited inland heat advection and kept afternoon warming in check. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if post-event quality control adjusts the official high due to station-specific reporting or microclimate variations, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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