Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$28,872 KL.
$28,872 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$28,872 KL.
$28,872 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$550 KL.
No
23°C
$725 KL.
No
24°C
$444 KL.
No
25°C
$1,522 KL.
No
26°C
$11,574 KL.
Yes
27°C
$5,129 KL.
No
28°C
$3,929 KL.
No
29°C
$2,307 KL.
No
30°C
$1,651 KL.
No
31°C
$625 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$418 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,872Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$28,872Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 26°C daily maximum in Istanbul on August 21 because real-time station observations and short-range model consensus from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service show peak temperatures reaching but not exceeding that level under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly flow. Moderate winds and relatively high humidity have limited further warming despite seasonal solar input, keeping readings consistent with historical late-August climatology near 28–30°C but tempered by regional pressure patterns. The market-implied odds reflect this convergence of verified data rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day spike or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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