Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$80,232 KL.
$80,232 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$80,232 KL.
$80,232 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$292 KL.
No
25°C
$1,170 KL.
No
26°C
$1,174 KL.
No
27°C
$3,786 KL.
No
28°C
$4,572 KL.
No
29°C
$7,788 KL.
No
30°C
$14,468 KL.
No
31°C
$13,471 KL.
No
32°C
$11,467 KL.
Yes
33°C
$14,202 KL.
No
34°C or higher
$7,841 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$80,232Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$80,232Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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