Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 10?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,006 KL.
$25,006 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,006 KL.
$25,006 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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