Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirmed a maximum air temperature of 29°C on August 20 at the reference headquarters station, driving the near-certain market consensus. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with a moist northeasterly flow suppressed daytime heating and kept the diurnal range modest, consistent with ensemble model guidance issued days earlier. These conditions contrasted with the mid-month heatwave that produced record readings above 36°C earlier in August. Minor variations in microsite readings or slight forecast revisions could have shifted the outcome into adjacent bins, yet the official verification aligned precisely with the 29°C threshold used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$300,508 KL.
$300,508 KL.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$300,508 KL.
$300,508 KL.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirmed a maximum air temperature of 29°C on August 20 at the reference headquarters station, driving the near-certain market consensus. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with a moist northeasterly flow suppressed daytime heating and kept the diurnal range modest, consistent with ensemble model guidance issued days earlier. These conditions contrasted with the mid-month heatwave that produced record readings above 36°C earlier in August. Minor variations in microsite readings or slight forecast revisions could have shifted the outcome into adjacent bins, yet the official verification aligned precisely with the 29°C threshold used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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