**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,412 KL.
$174,412 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,412 KL.
$174,412 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$989 KL.
No
27°C
$2,645 KL.
No
28°C
$6,302 KL.
No
29°C
$16,575 KL.
No
30°C
$27,850 KL.
No
31°C
$22,810 KL.
No
32°C
$37,556 KL.
Yes
33°C
$25,631 KL.
No
34°C
$23,729 KL.
No
35°C
$8,566 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$1,758 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$174,412Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$174,412Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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