Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,763 KL.
$237,763 KL.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,763 KL.
$237,763 KL.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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