Current forecasts from regional meteorological models position Guangzhou to reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 19 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting daytime heating. This aligns with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent observational trends showing consistent warmth without significant cooling influences like typhoon activity or enhanced rainfall. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability on 35°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, where minor forecast revisions could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or a revised model run introducing more moisture remains the primary pathway for a different outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 19?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,274 KL.
$41,274 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,274 KL.
$41,274 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$191 KL.
No
31°C
$1,138 KL.
No
32°C
$1,516 KL.
No
33°C
$3,421 KL.
No
34°C
$5,879 KL.
No
35°C
$9,897 KL.
Yes
36°C
$4,915 KL.
No
37°C
$5,160 KL.
No
38°C
$4,381 KL.
No
39°C
$3,181 KL.
No
40°C or higher
$1,597 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models position Guangzhou to reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 19 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting daytime heating. This aligns with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent observational trends showing consistent warmth without significant cooling influences like typhoon activity or enhanced rainfall. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability on 35°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, where minor forecast revisions could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or a revised model run introducing more moisture remains the primary pathway for a different outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,274Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models position Guangzhou to reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 19 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting daytime heating. This aligns with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent observational trends showing consistent warmth without significant cooling influences like typhoon activity or enhanced rainfall. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability on 35°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, where minor forecast revisions could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or a revised model run introducing more moisture remains the primary pathway for a different outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$41,274Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts from regional meteorological models position Guangzhou to reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 19 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited cloud cover supporting daytime heating. This aligns with historical August averages of 32–34°C and recent observational trends showing consistent warmth without significant cooling influences like typhoon activity or enhanced rainfall. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability on 35°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance, where minor forecast revisions could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or a revised model run introducing more moisture remains the primary pathway for a different outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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