Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 32°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–34°C for the region, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap extremes. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this strong data alignment and trader assessment of official station readings. However, clearer skies or delayed rainfall could push readings higher, while intensified convection might keep the maximum below the threshold, underscoring forecast sensitivity to short-term atmospheric shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$59,806 KL.
$59,806 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$59,806 KL.
$59,806 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
$1,395 KL.
No
27°C
$1,507 KL.
No
28°C
$2,292 KL.
No
29°C
$3,877 KL.
No
30°C
$5,531 KL.
No
31°C
$5,167 KL.
No
32°C
$10,158 KL.
Yes
33°C
$11,044 KL.
No
34°C
$10,526 KL.
No
35°C
$5,347 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$2,962 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 32°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–34°C for the region, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap extremes. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this strong data alignment and trader assessment of official station readings. However, clearer skies or delayed rainfall could push readings higher, while intensified convection might keep the maximum below the threshold, underscoring forecast sensitivity to short-term atmospheric shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,806Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 32°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–34°C for the region, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap extremes. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this strong data alignment and trader assessment of official station readings. However, clearer skies or delayed rainfall could push readings higher, while intensified convection might keep the maximum below the threshold, underscoring forecast sensitivity to short-term atmospheric shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$59,806Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature of 32°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–34°C for the region, where cloud cover and precipitation often cap extremes. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this strong data alignment and trader assessment of official station readings. However, clearer skies or delayed rainfall could push readings higher, while intensified convection might keep the maximum below the threshold, underscoring forecast sensitivity to short-term atmospheric shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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