Trader consensus has locked onto a 30°C daily maximum for Chengdu on August 16 because official station readings and short-range model guidance have converged on that exact threshold amid stable atmospheric conditions. Partly cloudy skies and light winds have limited both daytime heating from solar insolation and nocturnal cooling, keeping the basin’s humid subtropical air mass within a narrow range consistent with mid-August climatology. Real-time observations from China Meteorological Administration networks show temperatures tracking the forecast envelope without deviation that would push the peak higher or lower. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this high-confidence alignment, though a sudden convective cell or revised station data release could still alter the final recorded high before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 16?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,475 KL.
$59,475 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,475 KL.
$59,475 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$484 KL.
No
26°C
$1,091 KL.
No
27°C
$2,470 KL.
No
28°C
$3,144 KL.
No
29°C
$4,773 KL.
No
30°C
$18,365 KL.
Yes
31°C
$8,582 KL.
No
32°C
$4,478 KL.
No
33°C
$5,629 KL.
No
34°C
$3,777 KL.
No
35°C or higher
$6,683 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a 30°C daily maximum for Chengdu on August 16 because official station readings and short-range model guidance have converged on that exact threshold amid stable atmospheric conditions. Partly cloudy skies and light winds have limited both daytime heating from solar insolation and nocturnal cooling, keeping the basin’s humid subtropical air mass within a narrow range consistent with mid-August climatology. Real-time observations from China Meteorological Administration networks show temperatures tracking the forecast envelope without deviation that would push the peak higher or lower. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this high-confidence alignment, though a sudden convective cell or revised station data release could still alter the final recorded high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,475Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a 30°C daily maximum for Chengdu on August 16 because official station readings and short-range model guidance have converged on that exact threshold amid stable atmospheric conditions. Partly cloudy skies and light winds have limited both daytime heating from solar insolation and nocturnal cooling, keeping the basin’s humid subtropical air mass within a narrow range consistent with mid-August climatology. Real-time observations from China Meteorological Administration networks show temperatures tracking the forecast envelope without deviation that would push the peak higher or lower. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this high-confidence alignment, though a sudden convective cell or revised station data release could still alter the final recorded high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$59,475Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus has locked onto a 30°C daily maximum for Chengdu on August 16 because official station readings and short-range model guidance have converged on that exact threshold amid stable atmospheric conditions. Partly cloudy skies and light winds have limited both daytime heating from solar insolation and nocturnal cooling, keeping the basin’s humid subtropical air mass within a narrow range consistent with mid-August climatology. Real-time observations from China Meteorological Administration networks show temperatures tracking the forecast envelope without deviation that would push the peak higher or lower. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects this high-confidence alignment, though a sudden convective cell or revised station data release could still alter the final recorded high before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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