Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 16?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,501 KL.
$26,501 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,501 KL.
$26,501 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
$1,173 KL.
No
14°C
$1,006 KL.
No
15°C
$1,712 KL.
No
16°C
$4,022 KL.
No
17°C
$5,209 KL.
Yes
18°C
$3,282 KL.
No
19°C
$3,909 KL.
No
20°C
$2,617 KL.
No
21°C
$2,006 KL.
No
22°C
$739 KL.
No
23°C or higher
$825 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,501Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$26,501Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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