Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,669 KL.
$76,669 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,669 KL.
$76,669 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$1,284 KL.
No
27°C
$1,246 KL.
No
28°C
$5,518 KL.
No
29°C
$2,288 KL.
No
30°C
$20,796 KL.
No
31°C
$13,901 KL.
No
32°C
$8,254 KL.
Yes
33°C
$10,183 KL.
No
34°C
$5,686 KL.
No
35°C
$2,610 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$4,902 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$76,669Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$76,669Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 8, 2026, consistently project a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects current model consensus from agencies tracking regional atmospheric patterns, including typical early-August influence from the subtropical high that sustains summer warmth before the solar term shift around August 7–9. Historical climatology supports highs in the 30–33°C range during this period, with low variability under stable conditions. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecast convective activity or rapid frontal passage bringing cooler air and precipitation, potentially dropping the peak below the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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