Official meteorological data from National Weather Service stations confirmed a daily maximum of 102-103°F in Austin on August 19, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, subsidence warming, and clear skies that limited cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models had converged on this range days earlier, consistent with late-summer climatology for Central Texas where such peaks occur several times per season. With resolution criteria now met through verified observations, the market-implied odds reflect complete trader alignment. Only an undetected instrumentation error or official revision could alter the outcome, though multiple independent stations make this highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 19?
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$27,806 KL.
$27,806 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
Yes
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F or higher
No
102-103°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$27,806 KL.
$27,806 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
93°F or below
$630 KL.
No
94-95°F
$284 KL.
No
96-97°F
$749 KL.
No
98-99°F
$2,681 KL.
No
100-101°F
$10,063 KL.
No
102-103°F
$6,300 KL.
Yes
104-105°F
$3,740 KL.
No
106-107°F
$1,323 KL.
No
108-109°F
$1,597 KL.
No
110-111°F
$150 KL.
No
112°F or higher
$290 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological data from National Weather Service stations confirmed a daily maximum of 102-103°F in Austin on August 19, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, subsidence warming, and clear skies that limited cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models had converged on this range days earlier, consistent with late-summer climatology for Central Texas where such peaks occur several times per season. With resolution criteria now met through verified observations, the market-implied odds reflect complete trader alignment. Only an undetected instrumentation error or official revision could alter the outcome, though multiple independent stations make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,806Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological data from National Weather Service stations confirmed a daily maximum of 102-103°F in Austin on August 19, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, subsidence warming, and clear skies that limited cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models had converged on this range days earlier, consistent with late-summer climatology for Central Texas where such peaks occur several times per season. With resolution criteria now met through verified observations, the market-implied odds reflect complete trader alignment. Only an undetected instrumentation error or official revision could alter the outcome, though multiple independent stations make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$27,806Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official meteorological data from National Weather Service stations confirmed a daily maximum of 102-103°F in Austin on August 19, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, subsidence warming, and clear skies that limited cloud cover and maximized solar heating. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and local mesoscale models had converged on this range days earlier, consistent with late-summer climatology for Central Texas where such peaks occur several times per season. With resolution criteria now met through verified observations, the market-implied odds reflect complete trader alignment. Only an undetected instrumentation error or official revision could alter the outcome, though multiple independent stations make this highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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