The market's near-certain implied probability on a 23°C maximum reflects the tight consensus across KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS model runs, which consistently project a daytime peak at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for mid-August in the Netherlands. Current observational trends from Schiphol and De Bilt stations align with this guidance, showing gradual warming without exceeding the threshold, consistent with the climatological average high near 22°C. Resolution hinges on the official final reading, so any late-day advection of cooler marine air or measurement timing at the reference station remains the only realistic variable that could shift the exact outcome before close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 10?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$45,000 KL.
$45,000 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$45,000 KL.
$45,000 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
$1,556 KL.
No
20°C
$1,160 KL.
No
21°C
$1,771 KL.
No
22°C
$7,185 KL.
No
23°C
$14,267 KL.
Yes
24°C
$7,924 KL.
No
25°C
$5,830 KL.
No
26°C
$2,917 KL.
No
27°C
$1,122 KL.
No
28°C
$721 KL.
No
29°C or higher
$546 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain implied probability on a 23°C maximum reflects the tight consensus across KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS model runs, which consistently project a daytime peak at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for mid-August in the Netherlands. Current observational trends from Schiphol and De Bilt stations align with this guidance, showing gradual warming without exceeding the threshold, consistent with the climatological average high near 22°C. Resolution hinges on the official final reading, so any late-day advection of cooler marine air or measurement timing at the reference station remains the only realistic variable that could shift the exact outcome before close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,000Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain implied probability on a 23°C maximum reflects the tight consensus across KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS model runs, which consistently project a daytime peak at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for mid-August in the Netherlands. Current observational trends from Schiphol and De Bilt stations align with this guidance, showing gradual warming without exceeding the threshold, consistent with the climatological average high near 22°C. Resolution hinges on the official final reading, so any late-day advection of cooler marine air or measurement timing at the reference station remains the only realistic variable that could shift the exact outcome before close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$45,000Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The market's near-certain implied probability on a 23°C maximum reflects the tight consensus across KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS model runs, which consistently project a daytime peak at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds typical for mid-August in the Netherlands. Current observational trends from Schiphol and De Bilt stations align with this guidance, showing gradual warming without exceeding the threshold, consistent with the climatological average high near 22°C. Resolution hinges on the official final reading, so any late-day advection of cooler marine air or measurement timing at the reference station remains the only realistic variable that could shift the exact outcome before close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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