Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years edging out no prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—jury selection began April 14, 2026, and key accuser Jessica Mann wrapped tense testimony by late April. A upheld 2025 New York sexual assault conviction awaits sentencing, potentially stacking atop his 16-year California rape term (under appeal after a skeptical April 23 appellate hearing), while his history of a overturned 2020 conviction fuels optimism for technical reversals or pleas. Health woes at age 74 and plea discussions add volatility; resolution hinges on trial verdict, appeals outcomes, and any deal before summer ceremonies lock in final time-served calculations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Thời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
20-30 năm 33.0%
Không bị tù 27.7%
Hơn 30 năm 13.0%
10-20 năm 11.5%
$913,181 KL.
$913,181 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
28%
Dưới 5 năm
7%
5-10 years
4%
10-20 năm
12%
20-30 năm
33%
Hơn 30 năm
13%
20-30 năm 33.0%
Không bị tù 27.7%
Hơn 30 năm 13.0%
10-20 năm 11.5%
$913,181 KL.
$913,181 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
$328,126 KL.
28%
Dưới 5 năm
$119,163 KL.
7%
5-10 years
$69,362 KL.
4%
10-20 năm
$147,056 KL.
12%
20-30 năm
$185,673 KL.
33%
Hơn 30 năm
$63,801 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years edging out no prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—jury selection began April 14, 2026, and key accuser Jessica Mann wrapped tense testimony by late April. A upheld 2025 New York sexual assault conviction awaits sentencing, potentially stacking atop his 16-year California rape term (under appeal after a skeptical April 23 appellate hearing), while his history of a overturned 2020 conviction fuels optimism for technical reversals or pleas. Health woes at age 74 and plea discussions add volatility; resolution hinges on trial verdict, appeals outcomes, and any deal before summer ceremonies lock in final time-served calculations.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$913,181Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years edging out no prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—jury selection began April 14, 2026, and key accuser Jessica Mann wrapped tense testimony by late April. A upheld 2025 New York sexual assault conviction awaits sentencing, potentially stacking atop his 16-year California rape term (under appeal after a skeptical April 23 appellate hearing), while his history of a overturned 2020 conviction fuels optimism for technical reversals or pleas. Health woes at age 74 and plea discussions add volatility; resolution hinges on trial verdict, appeals outcomes, and any deal before summer ceremonies lock in final time-served calculations.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$913,181Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years edging out no prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—jury selection began April 14, 2026, and key accuser Jessica Mann wrapped tense testimony by late April. A upheld 2025 New York sexual assault conviction awaits sentencing, potentially stacking atop his 16-year California rape term (under appeal after a skeptical April 23 appellate hearing), while his history of a overturned 2020 conviction fuels optimism for technical reversals or pleas. Health woes at age 74 and plea discussions add volatility; resolution hinges on trial verdict, appeals outcomes, and any deal before summer ceremonies lock in final time-served calculations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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