Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years implied at 33.1% edging out no prison time at 24.1%, driven by his ongoing imprisonment at Rikers Island while serving concurrent sentences from a 2025 New York sexual assault conviction (23 years) and a 2022 Los Angeles rape verdict (16 years). Recent momentum stems from a skeptical April 23 appellate panel in California questioning his LA appeal and jury selection kicking off April 14 for his third New York rape retrial, heightening risks of additional time or potential overturns amid his frail health and age 73. Key swing factors include trial verdicts, appeal rulings, and plea negotiations, with #MeToo precedents underscoring persistent prosecutorial resolve against high-profile accountability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Thời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
20-30 năm 33.1%
Không bị tù 24.1%
10-20 năm 12.3%
Hơn 30 năm 7.8%
$916,168 KL.
$916,168 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
24%
Dưới 5 năm
7%
5-10 years
5%
10-20 năm
12%
20-30 năm
33%
Hơn 30 năm
8%
20-30 năm 33.1%
Không bị tù 24.1%
10-20 năm 12.3%
Hơn 30 năm 7.8%
$916,168 KL.
$916,168 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
$328,673 KL.
24%
Dưới 5 năm
$119,693 KL.
7%
5-10 years
$69,900 KL.
5%
10-20 năm
$147,339 KL.
12%
20-30 năm
$186,120 KL.
33%
Hơn 30 năm
$64,443 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years implied at 33.1% edging out no prison time at 24.1%, driven by his ongoing imprisonment at Rikers Island while serving concurrent sentences from a 2025 New York sexual assault conviction (23 years) and a 2022 Los Angeles rape verdict (16 years). Recent momentum stems from a skeptical April 23 appellate panel in California questioning his LA appeal and jury selection kicking off April 14 for his third New York rape retrial, heightening risks of additional time or potential overturns amid his frail health and age 73. Key swing factors include trial verdicts, appeal rulings, and plea negotiations, with #MeToo precedents underscoring persistent prosecutorial resolve against high-profile accountability.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$916,168Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years implied at 33.1% edging out no prison time at 24.1%, driven by his ongoing imprisonment at Rikers Island while serving concurrent sentences from a 2025 New York sexual assault conviction (23 years) and a 2022 Los Angeles rape verdict (16 years). Recent momentum stems from a skeptical April 23 appellate panel in California questioning his LA appeal and jury selection kicking off April 14 for his third New York rape retrial, heightening risks of additional time or potential overturns amid his frail health and age 73. Key swing factors include trial verdicts, appeal rulings, and plea negotiations, with #MeToo precedents underscoring persistent prosecutorial resolve against high-profile accountability.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$916,168Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's sprawling legal saga, with 20-30 years implied at 33.1% edging out no prison time at 24.1%, driven by his ongoing imprisonment at Rikers Island while serving concurrent sentences from a 2025 New York sexual assault conviction (23 years) and a 2022 Los Angeles rape verdict (16 years). Recent momentum stems from a skeptical April 23 appellate panel in California questioning his LA appeal and jury selection kicking off April 14 for his third New York rape retrial, heightening risks of additional time or potential overturns amid his frail health and age 73. Key swing factors include trial verdicts, appeal rulings, and plea negotiations, with #MeToo precedents underscoring persistent prosecutorial resolve against high-profile accountability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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