France's hung parliament, resulting from President Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, has fueled serial government crises, with Barnier and Bayrou ousted via no-confidence votes before Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's September 2025 appointment. Lecornu survived further censure motions in January 2026 while invoking Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget sans vote, stabilizing the minority administration amid fiscal deadlock. No National Assembly dissolution has followed since eligibility resumed post-June 2025 cooldown, underscoring Macron's wariness of electoral risk. Traders price a mere 7% chance of a snap election date declared by June 30, 2026, reflecting calm after budget passage, though renewed legislative clashes could prompt opposition motions or Macron's threatened dissolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,057,337 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
30 tháng 6, 2026
4%
$1,057,337 KL.
30 tháng 6, 2026
$75,704 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's hung parliament, resulting from President Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, has fueled serial government crises, with Barnier and Bayrou ousted via no-confidence votes before Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's September 2025 appointment. Lecornu survived further censure motions in January 2026 while invoking Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget sans vote, stabilizing the minority administration amid fiscal deadlock. No National Assembly dissolution has followed since eligibility resumed post-June 2025 cooldown, underscoring Macron's wariness of electoral risk. Traders price a mere 7% chance of a snap election date declared by June 30, 2026, reflecting calm after budget passage, though renewed legislative clashes could prompt opposition motions or Macron's threatened dissolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,057,337Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's hung parliament, resulting from President Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, has fueled serial government crises, with Barnier and Bayrou ousted via no-confidence votes before Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's September 2025 appointment. Lecornu survived further censure motions in January 2026 while invoking Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget sans vote, stabilizing the minority administration amid fiscal deadlock. No National Assembly dissolution has followed since eligibility resumed post-June 2025 cooldown, underscoring Macron's wariness of electoral risk. Traders price a mere 7% chance of a snap election date declared by June 30, 2026, reflecting calm after budget passage, though renewed legislative clashes could prompt opposition motions or Macron's threatened dissolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,057,337Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's hung parliament, resulting from President Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, has fueled serial government crises, with Barnier and Bayrou ousted via no-confidence votes before Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's September 2025 appointment. Lecornu survived further censure motions in January 2026 while invoking Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget sans vote, stabilizing the minority administration amid fiscal deadlock. No National Assembly dissolution has followed since eligibility resumed post-June 2025 cooldown, underscoring Macron's wariness of electoral risk. Traders price a mere 7% chance of a snap election date declared by June 30, 2026, reflecting calm after budget passage, though renewed legislative clashes could prompt opposition motions or Macron's threatened dissolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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