Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?
0.1 99.9%
<0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$5,091 KL.
$5,091 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<0.1
No
0.1
Yes
>0.1
No
0.1 99.9%
<0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$5,091 KL.
$5,091 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<0.1
$2,928 KL.
No
0.1
$1,314 KL.
Yes
>0.1
$849 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,091Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Khối lượng
$5,091Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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