Jared Moskowitz holds a clear edge in the November 3, 2026, contest for Florida’s 25th Congressional District after redistricting shifted the coastal seat from a stronger Democratic lean to a more competitive profile that favored Trump by nine points in 2024. The incumbent Democrat has maintained strong fundraising momentum, raised nearly $3 million, and secured substantial pro-Israel PAC support, while benefiting from recent forecaster upgrades such as Sabato’s Crystal Ball moving the race to “leans Democratic.” Former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer, the Republican nominee endorsed by President Trump, trails in trader pricing despite a solid primary performance and competitive cash position. The district’s sizable Jewish population and Moskowitz’s bipartisan record on emergency management and committee work reinforce the current implied probability gap ahead of Election Day.