Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDebbie Wasserman Schultz 65%
Elijah Manley 28%
Rudy Moise 8.6%
Maisha Williams 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
56%
Elijah Manley
30%
Rudy Moise
9%
Maisha Williams
5%
Dale Holness
5%
Luther Campbell
4%
Mark Douglas
2%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
1%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%
Elijah Manley 28%
Rudy Moise 8.6%
Maisha Williams 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
$148 KL.
56%
Elijah Manley
$2,185 KL.
30%
Rudy Moise
$846 KL.
9%
Maisha Williams
$299 KL.
5%
Dale Holness
$1,645 KL.
5%
Luther Campbell
$264 KL.
4%
Mark Douglas
$274 KL.
2%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
$785 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,447Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$6,447Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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