The open seat in Florida's 16th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in territory redrawn under the latest state map that analysts project would have favored the GOP by double digits in recent cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical results across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Multiple well-funded Republican candidates contrast with a more fragmented Democratic field showing comparatively limited early fundraising, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70 percent range for the Republican nominee in the general election. No major developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$15,882 KL.
$15,882 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
25%
$15,882 KL.
$15,882 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,752 KL.
69%
Democratic Party
$10,130 KL.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Florida's 16th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in territory redrawn under the latest state map that analysts project would have favored the GOP by double digits in recent cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical results across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Multiple well-funded Republican candidates contrast with a more fragmented Democratic field showing comparatively limited early fundraising, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70 percent range for the Republican nominee in the general election. No major developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,882Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Florida's 16th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in territory redrawn under the latest state map that analysts project would have favored the GOP by double digits in recent cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical results across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Multiple well-funded Republican candidates contrast with a more fragmented Democratic field showing comparatively limited early fundraising, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70 percent range for the Republican nominee in the general election. No major developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,882Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Florida's 16th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, sits in territory redrawn under the latest state map that analysts project would have favored the GOP by double digits in recent cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical results across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Multiple well-funded Republican candidates contrast with a more fragmented Democratic field showing comparatively limited early fundraising, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70 percent range for the Republican nominee in the general election. No major developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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