Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican lean while preserving much of Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor’s Tampa-area base, producing a closely balanced race. Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republicans are coalescing around candidates including Mike Beltran with state party support. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican or Tossup, reflecting the tension between incumbency advantages and the new map’s partisan tilt. Traders price Democratic and Republican nominees near even odds, consistent with the structural shifts and limited polling that leave both parties with viable paths in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$20,149 KL.
$20,149 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
49%
Republican Party
48%
$20,149 KL.
$20,149 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,686 KL.
49%
Republican Party
$11,463 KL.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican lean while preserving much of Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor’s Tampa-area base, producing a closely balanced race. Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republicans are coalescing around candidates including Mike Beltran with state party support. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican or Tossup, reflecting the tension between incumbency advantages and the new map’s partisan tilt. Traders price Democratic and Republican nominees near even odds, consistent with the structural shifts and limited polling that leave both parties with viable paths in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,149Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican lean while preserving much of Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor’s Tampa-area base, producing a closely balanced race. Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republicans are coalescing around candidates including Mike Beltran with state party support. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican or Tossup, reflecting the tension between incumbency advantages and the new map’s partisan tilt. Traders price Democratic and Republican nominees near even odds, consistent with the structural shifts and limited polling that leave both parties with viable paths in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,149Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican lean while preserving much of Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor’s Tampa-area base, producing a closely balanced race. Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republicans are coalescing around candidates including Mike Beltran with state party support. Forecasters rate the seat Lean Republican or Tossup, reflecting the tension between incumbency advantages and the new map’s partisan tilt. Traders price Democratic and Republican nominees near even odds, consistent with the structural shifts and limited polling that leave both parties with viable paths in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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