Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, which carries an R+6 partisan voting index and was minimally altered by the April 2026 redistricting map approved by the state legislature. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing Luna’s 2024 performance and early fundraising edge exceeding $2.2 million. The August 18 primary features a Republican challenger and several Democratic entrants, but no polling indicates a competitive general election threat. Traders’ 73% Republican probability reflects the district’s structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-13 House Election Winner
FL-13 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$221 KL.
74%
Democratic Party
$832 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, which carries an R+6 partisan voting index and was minimally altered by the April 2026 redistricting map approved by the state legislature. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing Luna’s 2024 performance and early fundraising edge exceeding $2.2 million. The August 18 primary features a Republican challenger and several Democratic entrants, but no polling indicates a competitive general election threat. Traders’ 73% Republican probability reflects the district’s structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,053Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, which carries an R+6 partisan voting index and was minimally altered by the April 2026 redistricting map approved by the state legislature. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing Luna’s 2024 performance and early fundraising edge exceeding $2.2 million. The August 18 primary features a Republican challenger and several Democratic entrants, but no polling indicates a competitive general election threat. Traders’ 73% Republican probability reflects the district’s structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,053Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, which carries an R+6 partisan voting index and was minimally altered by the April 2026 redistricting map approved by the state legislature. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing Luna’s 2024 performance and early fundraising edge exceeding $2.2 million. The August 18 primary features a Republican challenger and several Democratic entrants, but no polling indicates a competitive general election threat. Traders’ 73% Republican probability reflects the district’s structural lean, incumbency advantage, and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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