Florida's newly enacted congressional map, signed into law in early May 2026, has shifted the 9th district's partisan baseline toward Republicans, prompting forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto has signaled plans to seek re-election in the reconfigured district and pursue legal challenges to the map. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general election in November. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome at 58 percent versus 40 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural changes and historical voting patterns in the updated boundaries, while ongoing litigation and candidate filings remain key variables ahead of the August contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$13,157 KL.
$13,157 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
40%
$13,157 KL.
$13,157 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,026 KL.
63%
Democratic Party
$5,131 KL.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly enacted congressional map, signed into law in early May 2026, has shifted the 9th district's partisan baseline toward Republicans, prompting forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto has signaled plans to seek re-election in the reconfigured district and pursue legal challenges to the map. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general election in November. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome at 58 percent versus 40 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural changes and historical voting patterns in the updated boundaries, while ongoing litigation and candidate filings remain key variables ahead of the August contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,157Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's newly enacted congressional map, signed into law in early May 2026, has shifted the 9th district's partisan baseline toward Republicans, prompting forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto has signaled plans to seek re-election in the reconfigured district and pursue legal challenges to the map. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general election in November. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome at 58 percent versus 40 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural changes and historical voting patterns in the updated boundaries, while ongoing litigation and candidate filings remain key variables ahead of the August contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,157Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's newly enacted congressional map, signed into law in early May 2026, has shifted the 9th district's partisan baseline toward Republicans, prompting forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto has signaled plans to seek re-election in the reconfigured district and pursue legal challenges to the map. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general election in November. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome at 58 percent versus 40 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural changes and historical voting patterns in the updated boundaries, while ongoing litigation and candidate filings remain key variables ahead of the August contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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