**John Cowan, the Republican nominee, holds a substantial projected advantage in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12.** Cowan advanced from a crowded May 2026 primary and June runoff, defeating Rob Adkerson by a wide margin to replace retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk. He faces Democrat Chris Harden, who won his party’s primary, plus two independents on the November 3 ballot. Forecasts project Cowan receiving roughly 60% of the vote—enough for a clear majority in most scenarios—yet the 62.1% market price for an outright winner reflects residual uncertainty from potential vote splitting, turnout variability, or narrower-than-expected margins that could trigger Georgia’s December 1 runoff rule. No major late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?
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MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
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MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**John Cowan, the Republican nominee, holds a substantial projected advantage in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12.**
Cowan advanced from a crowded May 2026 primary and June runoff, defeating Rob Adkerson by a wide margin to replace retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk. He faces Democrat Chris Harden, who won his party’s primary, plus two independents on the November 3 ballot. Forecasts project Cowan receiving roughly 60% of the vote—enough for a clear majority in most scenarios—yet the 62.1% market price for an outright winner reflects residual uncertainty from potential vote splitting, turnout variability, or narrower-than-expected margins that could trigger Georgia’s December 1 runoff rule. No major late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$393Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**John Cowan, the Republican nominee, holds a substantial projected advantage in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12.**
Cowan advanced from a crowded May 2026 primary and June runoff, defeating Rob Adkerson by a wide margin to replace retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk. He faces Democrat Chris Harden, who won his party’s primary, plus two independents on the November 3 ballot. Forecasts project Cowan receiving roughly 60% of the vote—enough for a clear majority in most scenarios—yet the 62.1% market price for an outright winner reflects residual uncertainty from potential vote splitting, turnout variability, or narrower-than-expected margins that could trigger Georgia’s December 1 runoff rule. No major late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Khối lượng
$393Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**John Cowan, the Republican nominee, holds a substantial projected advantage in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12.** Cowan advanced from a crowded May 2026 primary and June runoff, defeating Rob Adkerson by a wide margin to replace retiring Rep. Barry Loudermilk. He faces Democrat Chris Harden, who won his party’s primary, plus two independents on the November 3 ballot. Forecasts project Cowan receiving roughly 60% of the vote—enough for a clear majority in most scenarios—yet the 62.1% market price for an outright winner reflects residual uncertainty from potential vote splitting, turnout variability, or narrower-than-expected margins that could trigger Georgia’s December 1 runoff rule. No major late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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