France's overwhelming squad depth and star power, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé in peak training form, anchor trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by eight straight friendly wins and full fitness despite fringe forward Hugo Ekitike's Achilles injury sidelining him since April 15. Norway's 22% reflects Erling Haaland's clinical finishing and gritty UEFA playoff qualification, positioning them as competitive challengers with strong counterattacking potential against Iraq. Senegal's 6.5% stems from Sadio Mané's 12-goal qualifying haul and Aliou Cissé's high-pressing 4-3-3, though a tougher CAF path tempers expectations versus elite Europe. Iraq's slim 1.3% underscores their AFC playoff surprise amid a daunting matchup slate, with camps reporting no fresh injury concerns across teams as June 16 opener France-Senegal looms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFrance 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 7%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 1.3%
$116,294 KL.
$116,294 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
France
71%
Norway
22%
Senegal
7%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
1%
France 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 7%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 1.3%
$116,294 KL.
$116,294 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
France
$47,945 KL.
71%
Norway
$11,981 KL.
22%
Senegal
$14,200 KL.
7%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$42,198 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth and star power, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé in peak training form, anchor trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by eight straight friendly wins and full fitness despite fringe forward Hugo Ekitike's Achilles injury sidelining him since April 15. Norway's 22% reflects Erling Haaland's clinical finishing and gritty UEFA playoff qualification, positioning them as competitive challengers with strong counterattacking potential against Iraq. Senegal's 6.5% stems from Sadio Mané's 12-goal qualifying haul and Aliou Cissé's high-pressing 4-3-3, though a tougher CAF path tempers expectations versus elite Europe. Iraq's slim 1.3% underscores their AFC playoff surprise amid a daunting matchup slate, with camps reporting no fresh injury concerns across teams as June 16 opener France-Senegal looms.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$116,294Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth and star power, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé in peak training form, anchor trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by eight straight friendly wins and full fitness despite fringe forward Hugo Ekitike's Achilles injury sidelining him since April 15. Norway's 22% reflects Erling Haaland's clinical finishing and gritty UEFA playoff qualification, positioning them as competitive challengers with strong counterattacking potential against Iraq. Senegal's 6.5% stems from Sadio Mané's 12-goal qualifying haul and Aliou Cissé's high-pressing 4-3-3, though a tougher CAF path tempers expectations versus elite Europe. Iraq's slim 1.3% underscores their AFC playoff surprise amid a daunting matchup slate, with camps reporting no fresh injury concerns across teams as June 16 opener France-Senegal looms.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$116,294Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's overwhelming squad depth and star power, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé in peak training form, anchor trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by eight straight friendly wins and full fitness despite fringe forward Hugo Ekitike's Achilles injury sidelining him since April 15. Norway's 22% reflects Erling Haaland's clinical finishing and gritty UEFA playoff qualification, positioning them as competitive challengers with strong counterattacking potential against Iraq. Senegal's 6.5% stems from Sadio Mané's 12-goal qualifying haul and Aliou Cissé's high-pressing 4-3-3, though a tougher CAF path tempers expectations versus elite Europe. Iraq's slim 1.3% underscores their AFC playoff surprise amid a daunting matchup slate, with camps reporting no fresh injury concerns across teams as June 16 opener France-Senegal looms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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